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2024-12-14 12:35:46

If we combine the A50 index with the trend of Hong Kong stocks, Hong Kong stocks have hit a new low, and the downward trend is more obvious. From these two indexes, there is no sign of starting a second upswing. If it were not for the support, A shares and these two sisters would have fallen sharply at the same time.I think fans and friends have a deep understanding of this point. For example, some stock review articles are titled "Big Good, Heavy, Super", and some of them have the words "Good" every day. It can be seen that the second half of this wave of 924 market is not simply dependent on good, but inseparable.The volume pile is shrinking, the volume and price deviate, and the market index deviates. The rise at this stage is ship pulled, and now the market fully meets these characteristics.


Support is necessary at this stage, but the strength is weakening. Just like the trend of these days, the big index stocks have to come forward to protect the market, because it is far from enough to support the market by relying on a securities sector alone. Since the big index stocks are pulled up, let's just draw the bow.A-shares: Is it to start the second wave of surge, or to attract more? Will tomorrow be Black Friday?Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.


Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.Today's trend, in particular, seems to be to eat Tuesday's false yinxian. Even if it is eaten, it is meaningless. To attract more is to attract more. It's just a change of technique, and the shipment is not smooth. It's just another trip to ship pulled.

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